DATA & EVIDENCE

The Evidence
Behind the Story

Explore the data, documents and methodology behind published claims. Every material claim should be traceable to a named source and a specific reporting period.

01

DATA SHOULD SHOW
WHAT CHANGED,
WHEN IT CHANGED
AND HOW IT WAS MEASURED.

EVIDENCE DASHBOARD

What the
numbers show.

Explore published indicators across the major areas of national progress. Each record identifies the metric, its baseline, latest actual, change, target or forecast, and the source behind the figure.

01

Macroeconomic and Fiscal

NDD-EVD-001 macroeconomic_fiscal

Test Metric

Baseline 100 — Baseline Period
Latest Actual 120 — Latest Period
Change +20%
Target / Forecast
03

Figures are presented with their reporting period and source. Where evidence is incomplete, changing or requires context, the record should make that limitation visible.

EVIDENCE STANDARDS

Evidence has
to earn its place.

No Dey Doubt distinguishes between announcements, approvals, funding, implementation and measurable outcomes. The source, reporting period and limitations behind a claim should remain visible.

01
SOURCE HIERARCHY

Not every source carries
the same weight.

TIER 01 01

Primary official evidence

Legislation, gazettes, audited accounts, NBS, CBN, DMO, Budget Office, OAGF and official administrative datasets.

TIER 02 02

Independent authoritative evidence

Multilateral institutions, peer-reviewed research and recognised professional analysis.

TIER 03 03

Context and leads

Credible media may provide context or leads, but should not be the sole proof of a major numerical claim.

NOT ACCEPTABLE AS PRIMARY PROOF ×

Unattributed or unverifiable material

Anonymous social posts, unattributed graphics, recycled articles and undated statements.

02
HOW WE MEASURE

A number needs
the right context.

01
Announcement ≠ Completion

An announcement is not counted as a completed project.

02
Approval ≠ Disbursement

An approval is not counted as money actually disbursed.

03
Design length ≠ Constructed length

The planned or designed scope is not presented as physical work completed.

04
Enrolment ≠ Certification or Employment

Training enrolment is not counted as certification or employment.

05
Planned beneficiaries ≠ People reached

A planned beneficiary figure is not presented as the number of people actually reached.

DATA CHANGES

Where figures change because of revised data, rebasing or corrections, the earlier record remains visible in the change log.

CORRECTIONS & CHANGE LOG

If the record
changes, show it.

Accuracy is a continuing responsibility. When published evidence changes because of a correction, revised data, rebasing or a methodological update, the change should remain visible rather than being silently overwritten.

01
CORRECTION RECORD

What a confirmed correction shows.

01
Original statement

The published claim or figure before the correction.

02
Corrected statement

The revised wording, figure or classification.

03
Reason for correction

A clear explanation of what changed and why.

04
Supporting source

The evidence supporting the corrected record.

05
Correction date

The date on which the correction was confirmed and recorded.

PUBLIC RECORD

Substantive corrections remain part of the public record. The aim is not to hide mistakes, but to make the evidence trail clearer and more reliable over time.